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Researchers at University of Tsukuba analyzed the source process of a significant earthquake that occurred in Myanmar in March 2025 using a novel approach, the potency density tensor inversion method. Unlike conventional methods, this approach does not assume the rupture propagation direction or fault geometry, allowing for a more flexible and accurate analysis. The results revealed an exceptionally complex source process characterized by asymmetric and rapid rupture growth that repeatedly propagated along the fault in both the north and south directions.

Tsukuba, Japan—On March 28, 2025, a major earthquake with a moment magnitude (Mw) of 7.7 struck Mandalay, central Myanmar (referred to as the 2025 Myanmar earthquake). This event caused severe shaking and substantial damage in Myanmar and neighboring countries. Aftershock distribution extended southward from the epicenter, indicating predominant southward rupture propagation. In such cases, a Doppler-like directivity effect usually results in sharp, high-amplitude pulse waveforms recorded in the rupture propagation direction (south of the epicenter in this instance). However, seismic observations showed large amplitudes and sharp pulses at stations north of the epicenter, while stations to the south recorded smaller amplitudes and prolonged, multi-peaked waveforms. This anomalous pattern suggests that the Myanmar earthquake exhibited an unconventional rupture behavior.

To investigate this, researchers applied the potency density tensor inversion method to flexibly analyze the seismic waveform data without predefining the rupture direction or fault geometry. The analysis revealed that the source process consisted of multiple rupture episodes with complex characteristics. Notably, asymmetric ruptures propagated in both north and south directions, while each episode generally extended southward from the hypocenter. In particular, during the initial rupture episode, the rupture propagated southward before reversing direction and propagating northward in a boomerang-like manner at a shear velocity exceeding the S-wave velocity, indicating supershear rupture.

These findings underscore the potential of using high-quality seismic waveform data and flexible analytical methods to robustly and rapidly estimate complex source processes immediately after an earthquake. The intricate rupture propagation patterns identified in this study are crucial for improving our understanding of earthquake generation mechanisms and assessing the development of strong ground motions capable of causing severe damage. Moreover, these insights are essential for comprehending the long-period seismic motions that caused structural damage in distant locations such as Bangkok, far from the earthquake's epicenter.

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This research is supported by Japan Society for the promotion of Science (JSPS) Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C) 22K03751, JSPS Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B) 25K01075 and JSPS Grant-in-Aid for Transformative Research Areas (A) "Science of Slowto-Fast Earthquakes" 24H01020.

Original Paper

Title of original paper:

A multiple asymmetrical bilateral rupture sequence derived from the peculiar teleseismic P-waves of the 2025 Mandalay, Myammar earthquake

Journal:

Seismica

DOI:

10.26443/seismica.v4i1.1691

Correspondence

Professor YAGI Yuji
Institute of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba

Associate Professor Bogdan Enescu
Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University

Related Link

Institute of Life and Environmental Sciences